Singapore gets pulled to pieces by the gravity of the alien mothership in Independence Day: Resurgence (a real stinker of a movie mutilating the universe set up by a classic movie of the 90s) but in reality the the end might come for the island republic in a much more banal, mundane way.
While there are existential challenges facing us such as a resurgence (no pun) of tensions in the South China Sea, global economic uncertainty, the possibility of the Kra canal project finally seeing light and all those other things that can scuttle a nation state, the real problem is really internal.
There are more rabbit people around.
In many ways having more rabbits around is also a sign of having made it- an environment cycles between favouring r and K-selection, with r-selected strategies generally resurgent (no pun again) when resources are plentiful for everyone and there is less of an advantage for individuals to be competitive and exhibit high in-group loyalty. For an island state that started with an uncertain future, creating an r-selected environment is no mean feat.
We are no Switzerland but we have come up with something that is quite far from the Third World, and that’s nothing to sneeze at despite how much some folks may try to say that Singapore sucks. It’s not perfect, but a lot of the wangsting is really a load of First World Problems. If you are in Singapore, you live in the top 20 percentile in the world.
But what people don’t realise is that this elysium of first world provision won’t last forever. The rabbits assume that the grass field will always be there for the grazing, and that the real problem is how to maximise their grazing of it.
Singapore started highly K-selected. While claims of Singapore being a “barren wasteland” by Lee Kuan Yew are hyperbolic, the survival of the island state was by no means a given. There were lots of pending existential issues that had to be addressed, along with the British kicking off the training wheels in their retreat of the post-colonial era.
Everybody then knew this, there were problems that needed to be solved and resources were not infinite.
In such an environment, the original stock of Singaporeans that made the pioneer generation were highly K-selected. Every action taken had to be carefully considered and every choice made for the investment of the future. Additionally, despite the racial riots Singapore was by large an extremely high-trust, high cohesion society.
While the PAP put a lot of effort into constructing a national narrative in the wake of independence, this would not be possible if Singaporeans as a whole were already a high-trust, high cohesion society with some nascent of being “Singapore” and working together towards success.
Policies were extremely focused, pragmatic and designed to be effective with much less concern if they would cause butthurt among groups. People who got the short end of the stick went along with it grudgingly anyway. National Service, the elimination of Chinese Universities and dialects, Stop at Two, restrained civil freedoms, what have you not. Singapore’s story to success is one of needing to make many hard choices, many of them morally questionable by today’s snowflake standards.
If you have a K-selected mindset you don’t mind getting some hardship even if it’s personally unfair as long as it benefits the group. It’s for the future. Even if there is some unfairness the high-trust nature of a K-selected society allows it to remain cohesive and cooperate for survival.
And so we made it, and now what?
One of the recurring sciological themes in the Manosphere is the rejection of the progressive narrative that human history inevitably progresses and each new fad, idea or political system is one more in an evolutionary advancement towards liberal enlightenment (hence their fondness of the term “Progressive”).
The Manosphere points out that history happens in cycles. Many of the ideas we are trying out now have been tried before in some form by previous civillisations. Much of the progressive kool-aid is really retro if you examine it, with many of the ideas being tried in some form or another before. What’s more the Manosphere also points out that sciological advance is not assured, and regressing into a period of darkness and chaos is very much part of the life cycle of human history.
Civillisations rise and fall. Progressives make the mistake of thinking their ideas if practiced will inevitably carry modern civillisation on an ever-upward trend. Look at recent progressive madness, does that look viable for civillisation? But that’s for another post.
Under the Manosphere sciological model civillisations go through several distinct phases-
- The Development Phase where a nascent civillisation is forming and building power
- The Apex Phase where a civillisation has reached it’s zenith of development (the golden era).
- The Degenerate Phase where a civillisation starts to decline and is eventually replaced by others.
Similar variants of this have been expounded on by historians and sociologists for a very long time so it isn’t really new. The manosphere model adds an extra dimension of r/K selection to understanding civillisational cycles.
In the Development phase society tends to be extremely K-selected as resources are scarce and everyone needs to be future-oriented, cooperative and highly-trusting of each other in order to build complex civillisation.
During the Development phase if you didn’t pull your weight to contribute anything useful people didn’t have the time for you, what matters is who can really bring the bacon to the table. Behaviours that are r-selected, are viewed as anti social as they are not pro-civillisation/development/survival.
As things become more developed and resources start to be abundant, a civillisation enters the Apex phase where it starts to flourish. People can now put aside existential struggles to enjoy the finer things about civillisation. Arts and culture flourish, people start to explore alternate lifestyle options that were not possible during the development phase.
The is a r-selected environment, there is much less of a need to be competitive as resources are freely available to everyone. K-selected behaviours are viewed as restrictive, boring, and outdated. Pretty much the way normal city folk would view apocalypse preppers and survivalists.
In the development phase it’s okay for men to be weak with no need to back up their faux masculinities with actual strength, women can be more loose with their sexual moores as there are reduced costs and risks for poor reproductive choices. If you are a masculine man in an r-selected environment, the other rabbit men will hate you and work to pull you down to their level.
There is grass everywhere and the rabbits start to multiply, outnumbering the wolves who were already few in number. What’s more the rabbits start to view these resources as entitlements and demand more, engineering society to redistribute resources as much as possible.
But every civilisation has it’s carrying capacity, be it in social, economic or physical resources. The resources set up in the development phase aren’t unlimited, they were built by the wolves and need to be maintained. Rabbits aren’t good at maintaining stuff and competing to bring home the bacon, they are just good at consuming resources and multiplying in a welcoming r-selected environment. The system starts to creak under the load.
This is when the Degenerate phase really starts to kick in, although usually starts sometime in the Apex phase before people even realise what is happening. The decline at first is slow but it quickly starts to build up speed due to the exponential and compounding nature of the demographic effects set up by r-selected behaviour.
Eventually things go into free fall, a civillisation collapses virtually overnight before the rabbits even know what hits them. This can be internal collapse, but more often than not it is the external invader in the form of another younger, more energetic civillisation that takes over by encroaching with its interests. The degenerate complex civillisation, weighted down and weakened by it’s r-selected population, is simply unable to resist.
When the dust has settled the degenerate civillisation is all but consigned to history.
These cycles can take place over a period of centuries, but things are happening a lot faster now due to the accelerating pace of change in modern times. What’s interesting is that things happen a lot faster with small nations, especially micro-states like island republics.
Small nations have much less buffer to absorb change, the very same small size that allows Singapore to develop quickly also means that bad changes will end up affecting it a lot quicker. Most small island republics don’t last more than 100 years, something to take note of as much as the PAP may try to defy the odds.
And the signs are clear: local young Singaporeans are becoming much more r-selected. Current generations of Singaporeans grow up without knowing just how much work it took from previous generations to build Singapore up to the way it is today. They assume they are special, that prosperity and success will always be theirs for the taking. They assume that Singapore is exceptional just for being Singapore.
Is societal trust lower nowadays as well? While we are still high-trust by most standards of the word it is arguable that the average level of trust in Singapore has actually fallen. Previous generations saw the horrors of the racial riots and realised the need for cooperation, trust, and cohesion to survive. Our modern Singaporean snowflakes don’t see all that, and partisan interest groups are starting to rise to the surface to erode that for personal gain. This is r-selected mindsets starting to take precedence.
There is also the issue of massive immigration in a short space of time of course, which almost universally, will lead to lower trust overall in society. That’s for another post as well.
The bottom line is, Singapore is becoming more r-selected, more from each succeed generations see Singapore less of a place to be built and more of a place from which resources need to be individually mined while maximising gain and reducing risk to oneself- rabbit behaviour.
And really this is the thing that will scuttle Singapore quickly in the long run, not the ambitions of China, not the Kra canal, not an alien mothership. Not some external threat.
Singapore is more likely to be scuttled by a generation of rabbit snowflake people who assume that they are exceptional just by virtue of being born, that Singapore owns them a university education, success in poor career choices, support for poor life choices and whatever fashionable validation for being a mediocre rabbit that has never had to fortitude to do anything really worthwhile.
At the same time the rabbit snowflake people will baulk at actually doing anything for their society, putting such a strain on the system until it finally cannot hold.
That’s how Singapore will end, under the weight of the rabbit people.
Your duty as an Alpha wolf to to fight it as much as you can, and barring that survive the decline with fellow K-selected people.